The Jump Outs
Feb 24, 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 24 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
MOONEE VALLEY - Race 1
#4 STARBURY (4) - N Ryan
No secret that we’re a fan of STARBURY. We were keen to bet into him at Bendigo on Saturday, but he’s elected to have a second jump out instead (following his Feb 3 jump out) before finally making his debut, his sixth career jump out, which we don’t mind as we can now be confident he’ll be forward enough on debut and on the back of his work in Heat 4 on Feb 17, he should also be hard to beat. He travelled nicely in behind the speed alongside Bandersnatch throughout this heat, a galloper he hit the line alongside and actually looked like he was travelling better than as he made up good ground on the leaders in King Tommy (won a BM58 by 2.8L only 2 weeks ago) and Lumber Punk (ran 2nd in a BM70 only 3 weeks ago). If he had more room late, think he would’ve gone past these gallopers, as shown by his work through the line where he was making ground despite Tom Prebble taking it really easy on him and not to mention, they clocked the fastest time of the morning too. If he goes to a country maiden, he’ll win.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Last Updated: 8:14am AEDT on Friday, 24th February 2023.
STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):